NFL 2025: Week 11 Picks

With the 2025-26 NFL season in its second half, every game matters in the race to Super Bowl 60.

Week 11’s marquee matchup, in my eyes, is Sam Darnold and the 7-2 Seattle Seahawks taking on Matthew Stafford and the 7-2 Los Angeles Rams for rights to first place in the NFC West. This will be the first of two meeting between these teams, and the division is anyone’s for the taking.

Other big games include Bo Nix and the 8-2 Denver Broncos looking to knock Patrick Mahomes and the 5-4 Kansas City Chiefs even further back in the AFC West race, as well as a high-octane Sunday Night Football matchup between Jared Goff’s 6-3 Detroit Lions and Jalen Hurts’ 7-2 Philadelphia Eagles.

Read on for my 2025-26 NFL Week 11 Picks, and if you’d like to debate or discuss any picks, join the conversation with @SakSports on Twitter/X, on Facebook, or by commenting directly on this post!

Picks Record

Week 1: 10-6

Week 2: 13-3

Week 3: 11-5

Week 4: 10-5-1

Week 5: 5-9

Week 6: 9-6

Week 7: 11-5

Week 8: 10-3

Week 9: 8-6

Week 10: 11-3

Overall Record: 98-51-1 (66%)

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Thursday Night Football

New York Jets (2-7) at New England Patriots (8-2): Patriots win 30-13

Sunday Games

Jayden Daniels, Tyreek Hill, and Terry McLaurin will all be out for this barn-burner despite appearing on this cool graphic. (Washington Commanders)

Game in Spain Washington Commanders (3-7) vs. Miami Dolphins (3-7): Dolphins win 23-17

Carolina Panthers (5-5) at Atlanta Falcons (3-6): Falcons win 23-20

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) at Buffalo Bills (6-3): Bills win 27-26

Houston Texans (4-5) at Tennessee Titans (1-8): Texans win 28-14

Chicago Bears (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (4-5): Vikings win 24-20

Green Bay Packers (5-3-1) at New York Giants (2-8): Packers win 16-6

Cincinnati Bengals (3-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4): Steelers win 23-18

Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4): Chargers win 20-17

**SEE ALSO: Post-Week 10 Power Rankings**

Sakmann Sports Game of the Week Seattle Seahawks (7-2) at Los Angeles Rams (7-2): This Week 11 matchup features two teams with a combined 14-4 record, with first place in the NFC West and potentially a shot at a first round bye on the line in the first of two matchups between Sam Darnold’s Seattle Seahawks and Matthew Stafford’s Los Angeles Rams. While I do have Seattle ranked higher in my Power Rankings, it’s by a razor-thin margin over Los Angeles: I’ll give the Rams round one at home. Rams win 26-23

San Francisco 49ers (6-4) at Arizona Cardinals (3-6): 49ers win 26-13

Baltimore Ravens (4-5) at Cleveland Browns (2-7): Ravens win 33-14

Kansas City Chiefs (5-4) at Denver Broncos (8-2): Chiefs win 24-20